438 8. Stagnation and Development—Institutions, Policy, and Culture
6 . Elhanan Helpman writes about the meanderings of economic growth
and the complexities of its interpretation in a work that is both interesting and
accessible to an exceptional degree, the aptly titled The Mystery of Economic
Growth (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2004).
9. The Coincidence Theory of Development
and the New Pragmatism
1 .Our Posthuman Future: Consequences of the Biotechnology Revolution (New
York: Farrar, Straus & Giroux, 2002), p. 66
2 . Dani Rodrik, Let a Thousand Growth Models Bloom , www.project-syndi
cate.org; Rethinking Growth Strategies [in]WIDER Perspectives on Global Devel-
opment [(Houndmills, Hampshire, and New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2005),
pp. 201–223.
10. The Uncertain Future
1 . See National Intelligence Council, Mapping the Global Future: Report of
the National Intelligence Council ’s 2020 Project. Based on Consultations with Non-
governmental Experts around the World (Washington, DC, Nov. 2004), www
.foia.cia.gov.net.
2 . William Easterly, The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists ’ Adventures and
Misadventures in the Tropics (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2002); The White
Man ’s Burden: Why the West ’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and
So Little Good (New York: Penguin, 2006).
3 . Paul Collier, The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and
What Can Be Done About It (New York: Oxford University Press, 2007).
4 . Ilyana Kuziemko and Eric Werker, “How Much Is a Seat on the Security
Council Worth? Foreign Aid and Bribery at the United Nations,” Journal of
Political Economy , 114, no. 3 (2006): 413–51.
5 . The members of ASEAN, the Association of South East Asian Nations,
are Burma (Myanmar), Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, The
Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.
6 . All but one of the former Soviet Republics are in the loosely affi liated
CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States), with the exception of the three
Baltic States—Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania—that have joined the E.U.
Georgia left the grouping after the recent military confl ict with Russia. The
members of the CIS are Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz-
stan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan.