xii I N T R O D U C T I O N
tech- stock bubble in 2000– 2001; the accounting scandals of 2001– 2002;
and the worldwide fi nancial crisis of 2007– 2008.
Living through the 1970s was particularly formative, since so many
challenges arose. It was virtually impossible to get an investment job during
the seventies, meaning that in order to have experienced that de cade, you
had to have gotten your job before it started. How many of the people who
started by the sixties were still working in the late nineties when the tech
bubble rolled around? Not many. Most professional investors had joined the
industry in the eighties or nineties and didn’t know a market decline could
exceed 5 percent, the greatest drop seen between 1982 and 1999.
If you read widely, you can learn from people whose ideas merit pub-
lishing. Some of the most important for me were Charley Ellis’s great article
“Th Th , July- August 1975), A e Financial Analysts Journal e Loser’s Game” (
Short History of Financial Euphoria, by John Kenneth Galbraith (New
York: Viking, 1990) and Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Fooled by Randomness
(New York: Texere, 2001). Each did a great deal to shape my thinking.
Finally, I’ve been extremely fortunate to learn directly from some
outstanding thinkers: John Kenneth Galbraith on human foibles; Warren
Buff ett on patience and contrarianism; Charlie Munger on the importance
of reasonable expectations; Bruce Newberg on “probability and outcome”;
Michael Milken on conscious risk bearing; and Ric Kayne on setting
“traps” (underrated investment opportunities where you can make a lot but
can’t lose a lot). I’ve also benefi ted from my association with Peter Bern-
stein, Seth Klarman, Jack Bogle, Jacob Rothschild, Jeremy Grantham, Joel
Greenblatt, Tony Pace, Orin Kramer, Jim Grant and Doug Kass.
Th e happy truth is that I was exposed to all of these elements and aware
enough to combine them into the investment philosophy that has worked
for my organizations— and thus for my clients— for many years. It’s not the
only right one— there are lots of ways to skin the cat— but it’s right for us.
I hasten to point out that my philosophy wouldn’t have meant much
without skilled implementation on the part of my incredible Oaktree
cofounders— Bruce Karsh, Sheldon Stone, Larry Keele, Richard Masson
and Steve Kaplan— with whom I was fortunate to team up between 1983 and
1993. I’m convinced that no idea can be any better than the action taken on
it, and that’s especially true in the world of investing. Th e philosophy I
share here wouldn’t have attracted attention were it not for the accom-
plishments of these partners and the rest of my Oaktree colleagues.
I N T R O D U C T I O N xi
When potential clients want to understand what makes Oaktree tick, their
number one question is usually some variation on “What have been the
keys to your success?” My answer is simple: an eff ective investment philos-
ophy, developed and honed over more than four de cades and implemented
conscientiously by highly skilled individuals who share culture and values.
Where does an investment philosophy come from? Th e one thing
I’m sure of is that no one arrives on the doorstep of an investment career
with his or her philosophy fully formed. A philosophy has to be the sum
of many ideas accumulated over a long period of time from a variety of
sources. One cannot develop an eff ective philosophy without having been
exposed to life’s lessons. In my life I’ve been quite fortunate in terms of
both rich experiences and powerful lessons.
Th ective e time I spent at two great business schools provided a very eff
and provocative combination: nuts- and- bolts and qualitative instruction
in the pre- theory days of my undergraduate education at Wharton, and
a theoretical, quantitative education at the Graduate School of Business
of the University of Chicago. It’s not the specifi c facts or pro cesses I learned
that mattered most, but being exposed to the two main schools of invest-
ment thought and having to ponder how to reconcile and synthesize them
into my own approach.
Importantly, a philosophy like mine comes from going through life
with your eyes open. You must be aware of what’s taking place in the world
and of what results those events lead to. Only in this way can you put the
lessons to work when similar circumstances materialize again. Failing to
do this— more than anything else— is what dooms most investors to being
victimized repeatedly by cycles of boom and bust.
I like to say, “Experience is what you got when you didn’t get what you
wanted.” Good times teach only bad lessons: that investing is easy, that you
know its secrets, and that you needn’t worry about risk. Th e most valuable
lessons are learned in tough times. In that sense, I’ve been “fortunate” to
have lived through some doozies: the Arab oil embargo, stagfl y ation, Nift
Fift y stock collapse and “death of equities” of the 1970s; Black Monday in
1987, when the Dow Jones Industrial Index lost 22.6 percent of its value in
one day; the 1994 spike in interest rates that put rate- sensitive debt in-
struments into freefall; the emerging market crisis, Rus sian default and
meltdown of Long- Term Capital Management in 1998; the bursting of the